In the early 1990s, the research group of Frank Plummer at
the University of Manitoba drew considerable attention—and some controversy—when they reported that, among a large cohort of female sex workers in Nairobi,
a subset showed evidence of resistance to HIV infection. The evidence emerged
over the course of a long-term study that found that women starting sex work faced
a very high risk of seroconverting in the first two years. However, for a
subset of women who remained HIV-negative, the risk of becoming infected
subsequently declined significantly over time, which Plummer and colleagues
interpreted as evidence of resistance to acquisition. Despite initial
skepticism, the findings prompted efforts to identify individuals with possible
resistance to HIV in other settings, such as among serodiscordant couples (in
which one partner is HIV-positive and the other HIV-negative). There is now a
substantial amount of literature on the topic, as well as ongoing workshops and
research collaborations, but one of the challenges in the field is that there
are no widely accepted criteria for defining high exposure to HIV (an important
part of assessing whether an individual may be resistant as opposed to simply
unexposed).
In a new paper in the Journal of Infectious Diseases, Romel
Mackelprang and colleagues from the Partners in Prevention HSV/HIV Transmission
Study describe a method for quantifying HIV exposure among serodiscordant
couples, with the goal of enhancing efforts to identify individuals with
potential resistance to infection. The study draws on data from a trial
involving 3,408 serodiscordant heterosexual African couples. Risk factors that
were associated with HIV transmission—such as unprotected sex, viral load level in
the HIV-positive partner, and genital ulcer disease—were used to create
“exposure scores” for the study participants. Unsurprisingly, high exposure was
associated with a 6.9-fold increased risk of infection compared to low
exposure. But these scores also identified a subset of 475 individuals with
persistently high exposure who remained seronegative. Echoing Frank Plummer’s
findings, the risk of HIV infection appeared to decline over the time in the
high exposure group, while remaining constant among participants with lower
exposure.
To further validate these findings, the researchers applied
a simplified version of the exposure-score model to an independent cohort of
485 serodiscordant couples from Kampala, Uganda, and Soweto, South Africa.
Again, the analysis identified a group (comprising 48 individuals) with high
exposure but a decreasing risk of acquiring HIV infection over time. The study
authors conclude: “our approach to estimating HIV-1 exposure using longitudinal
data from both partners in HIV-1–serodiscordant couples provides an objective
tool to identify subsets of HESN [HIV-1–exposed seronegative] individuals to
target for identification of host factors protecting against HIV-1.” Additional
details on the exposure scoring system are provided as supplementary data on the journal website.
J Infect Dis. (2012)
doi: 10.1093/infdis/jis480
First published online: August 27, 2012
Quantifying Ongoing HIV-1 Exposure in HIV-1–Serodiscordant
Couples to Identify Individuals With Potential Host Resistance to HIV-1
Romel D. Mackelprang1,2, Jared M. Baeten1,2,3, Deborah
Donnell1,5, Connie Celum1,2,3, Carey Farquhar1,2,3, Guy de Bruyn7, Max
Essex8,9, M. Juliana McElrath5,6, Edith Nakku-Joloba10, Jairam R. Lingappa1,3,4
and for the Partners in Prevention HSV/HIV Transmission Study Team
1 Department of Global Health
2 Department of Epidemiology
3 Department of Medicine
4 Department of Pediatrics, University of Washington
5 Statistical Center for HIV/AIDS Research and Prevention
6 The Vaccine and Infectious Disease Division, Fred
Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Washington
7 Perinatal HIV Research Unit, University of the
Witwatersrand, South Africa
8 Botswana-Harvard AIDS Institute Partnership, Gaborone,
Botswana
9 Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts
10 School of Public Health, Makerere University, Kampala,
Uganda
Abstract
Background. Immunogenetic correlates of resistance to HIV-1
in HIV-1–exposed seronegative (HESN) individuals with consistently high
exposure may inform HIV-1 prevention strategies. We developed a novel approach
for quantifying HIV-1 exposure to identify individuals remaining HIV-1
uninfected despite persistent high exposure.
Methods. We used longitudinal predictors of HIV-1
transmission in HIV-1 serodiscordant couples to score HIV-1 exposure and define
HESN clusters with persistently high, low, and decreasing risk trajectories.
The model was validated in an independent cohort of serodiscordant couples. We
describe a statistical tool that can be applied to other HESN cohorts to
identify individuals with high exposure to HIV-1.
Results. HIV-1 exposure was best quantified by frequency of
unprotected sex with, plasma HIV-1 RNA levels among, and presence of genital
ulcer disease among HIV-1–infected partners and by age, pregnancy status,
herpes simplex virus 2 serostatus, and male circumcision status among HESN
participants. Overall, 14% of HESN individuals persistently had high HIV-1
exposure and exhibited a declining incidence of HIV-1 infection over time.
Conclusions. A minority of HESN individuals from
HIV-1–discordant couples had persistent high HIV-1 exposure over time.
Decreasing incidence of infection in this group suggests these individuals were
selected for resistance to HIV-1 and may be most appropriate for identifying
biological correlates of natural host resistance to HIV-1 infection.
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